Iran will prioritize ships paying security fees in the Strait of Hormuz. Fewer than 10 ships transiting April 13-19 at 0.4% ...

The U.S. plans to seize Iranian crude tankers and move missile systems to Jordan. Gulf State military action against Iran by ...

The USS Rushmore is now conducting blockade operations in the Arabian Sea. Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization by June ...

Iran rejected US uranium trade demands, stalling negotiations. Ending enrichment by April 30 now at 28.5% YES.

UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres condemned an attack that killed a French UNIFIL peacekeeper and wounded three others in ...

Kelp DAO bridge hack results in $292M loss from rsETH reserves, marking 2026's largest DeFi exploit and impacting cross-chain ...

Tel Aviv protests against Netanyahu continue, but market odds for him stepping down by June 30 remain low at 5.5% YES.

SARB warns that the Middle East conflict complicates ECB rate cut outlook. 50 bps cut by April 2026 at 0.2% YES.

Kamala Harris accused Netanyahu of dragging Trump into war with Iran. The U.S. invasion of Iran market now sits at 6.5% YES, ...

Iran cites "major differences" with the US after failed peace talks. US-Iran peace deal by April 22 at 19.5% YES.

IRGC fired on a vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, making UK warship passage unlikely; market at 8.5% YES for sending warships ...

Iran's navy fired on Indian tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, causing UK warship deployment odds by April 30 to drop to 8.5% ...